Friday, 17 July 2026

Overnight Headlines 17th July 2026

Morning Pack

Friday 17 July 2026 · Market data captured around 05:40–05:49 GMT

Risk-off tone: Asian equities are sharply lower, led by Japan and technology shares, while US futures point to another weak opening. Oil is firmer as tensions around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz intensify. South Korea is closed for a public holiday, so no live KOSPI session is included.

Asia-Pacific Markets

IndexLevelNetChange
Nikkei 22563,223.40−3,612.14−5.40%
Shanghai Composite3,818.594−63.819−1.64%
Shenzhen Component13,953.256−535.398−3.70%
Hang Seng24,514.29−494.31−1.98%
ASX 2008,775.20−65.50−0.74%
Straits Times5,505.87−33.51−0.60%
NZX 5013,627.55+12.77+0.09%

US Markets

Thursday Cash Close

IndexCloseNetChange
Dow Jones52,552.97−105.67−0.20%
Nasdaq Composite25,881.946−387.281−1.47%
S&P 5007,533.77−38.63−0.51%
Russell 20002,974.567−1.692−0.06%
VIX16.73+1.06+6.76%

US Futures

ContractLastDay moveImplied open
Dow futures52,377.0−409.00 (−0.77%)−420.97 (−0.80%)
S&P futures7,511.75−66.00 (−0.87%)−75.02 (−0.99%)
Nasdaq futures28,794.0−431.75 (−1.48%)−436.77 (−1.49%)
Russell 2000 futures2,966.6−24.10 (−0.81%)−31.97 (−1.07%)

US Treasury Yields

MaturityYieldMove
6-month3.908%+0.4 bp
1-year3.983%−0.3 bp
2-year4.134%−2.2 bp
3-year4.181%−2.2 bp
5-year4.259%−2.3 bp
7-year4.392%−2.2 bp
10-year4.547%−2.2 bp
20-year5.078%−1.9 bp
30-year5.082%−1.5 bp

FX

PairPriceNetChange
USD/JPY162.39+0.01+0.01%
EUR/USD1.1436−0.0005−0.0437%
GBP/USD1.3456−0.0020−0.1484%
EUR/GBP0.8494+0.0006+0.07%
USD/CHF0.8089+0.0003+0.0371%
AUD/USD0.6978−0.0018−0.2573%
NZD/USD0.5834−0.0006−0.1027%
USD/CAD1.4036−0.0005−0.0356%

Commodities

CommodityPriceNetChange
WTI crude (Aug)$79.91+$0.96+1.22%
Brent crude (Sep)$85.10+$0.87+1.03%
Natural gas (Aug)$2.866+$0.008+0.28%
RBOB gasoline (Aug)$3.3181+$0.0334+1.02%
Heating oil (Aug)$4.0884+$0.0577+1.43%
Gold$3,984.50+$5.66+0.14%

Economic Calendar — GMT

TimeEventForecastPrevious
09:00Eurozone Core CPI YoY (Jun)2.4%2.6%
09:00Eurozone CPI YoY (Jun)2.8%3.2%
09:00Eurozone CPI MoM (Jun)−0.1%0.1%
12:30US Building Permits (Jun, prelim.)1.400M1.410M
12:30US Export Price Index MoM (Jun)−0.4%1.3%
12:30US Housing Starts (Jun)1.310M1.177M
12:30US Housing Starts MoM (Jun)−15.4%
12:30US Import Price Index MoM (Jun)−0.7%1.9%
13:15US Industrial Production MoM (Jun)0.2%0.1%
13:15US Industrial Production YoY (Jun)1.67%
14:00Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Jul, prelim.)4.6%
14:00Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Jul, prelim.)3.3%
14:00Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jul, prelim.)51.750.7
14:00Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jul, prelim.)51.049.8
14:45Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q2)
17:00Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
17:00Baker Hughes Total Rig Count

Times shown in GMT. Blank fields indicate no forecast or previous value was visible in the supplied calendar.

Market Commentary

The global equity sell-off is being driven by a renewed reassessment of crowded AI and semiconductor positions. Japan is bearing the brunt of the move, with the Nikkei down more than 5%, while Nasdaq futures are pointing to another decline of roughly 1.5% at the open.

The cross-asset signal is not a pure recession trade. Treasury yields are lower, particularly from two to ten years, but oil is rising on renewed threats to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. That combination leaves the market caught between weaker risk appetite and renewed inflation risk.

Today’s key macro focus is the US housing and industrial-production data, followed by the University of Michigan survey. The inflation-expectations components may attract particular attention after several Fed officials indicated that policy could still need to move higher if inflation pressures persist.

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