Morning Pack — Wednesday 26 August 2026
Overnight Headlines
- Stock futures little changed ahead of Nvidia earnings and key US inflation data
- Bessent’s bond intervention puts US Treasury on collision course with the Fed
- Australian CPI rises 3.5% y/y in July; monthly inflation comes in hotter than expected
- US shifts emphasis from strikes toward sanctions pressure on Iran
- Oil extends its slide as Iran-Oman talks revive hopes of safer Hormuz shipping
- Canada targets US metals, foods and other goods with retaliatory tariffs
- ECB policymakers prepare for a September rate hike as inflation risks persist
Asia-Pacific
| Index | Price | Net | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | 66,261.10 | +404.67 | +0.61% |
| Shanghai | 3,916.831 | +27.386 | +0.70% |
| Shenzhen | 13,911.29 | +165.421 | +1.20% |
| Hang Seng | 25,685.40 | +174.30 | +0.68% |
| ASX 200 | 9,150.70 | -13.90 | -0.15% |
| KOSPI | 6,873.35 | +130.61 | +1.94% |
| STI | 5,729.68 | -6.00 | -0.10% |
| NZX 50 | 14,013.21 | +20.49 | +0.15% |
US Cash Close
| Index | Close | Net | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow | 53,577.40 | +160.24 | +0.30% |
| Nasdaq | 26,151.30 | +171.11 | +0.66% |
| S&P 500 | 7,677.28 | +24.42 | +0.32% |
| Russell 2000 | 3,010.022 | +14.942 | +0.50% |
US Futures
| Future | Price | Net | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dow fut. | 53,639.0 | -6.00 | -0.01% |
| S&P fut. | 7,686.0 | -6.00 | -0.08% |
| Nasdaq fut. | 29,250.0 | -26.75 | -0.09% |
| Russell fut. | 3,013.4 | -1.00 | -0.03% |
US Treasuries
| Tenor | Yield | Change |
|---|---|---|
| US 2Y | 4.195% | -0.9 bp |
| US 5Y | 4.351% | +0.2 bp |
| US 10Y | 4.643% | +0.4 bp |
| US 30Y | 5.180% | +0.6 bp |
FX
| Pair | Price | Net | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 159.01 | -0.15 | -0.0942% |
| EUR/USD | 1.1660 | -0.0014 | -0.1199% |
| GBP/USD | 1.3628 | -0.0021 | -0.1539% |
| EUR/GBP | 0.8553 | +0.0003 | +0.04% |
| USD/CNY | 6.7212 | +0.0009 | +0.01% |
Commodities
| Contract | Price | Net | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Oct | $80.49 | -$1.87 | -2.27% |
| Brent Oct | $86.60 | -$1.98 | -2.24% |
| Nat Gas Sep | $2.801 | +$0.031 | +1.12% |
Today’s Calendar — GMT
| Time | Cur. | Event | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | USD | Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul) | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 12:30 | USD | Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 12:30 | USD | Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| 12:30 | USD | Core PCE Prices (Q2) – prelim. | 3.40% | 4.40% |
| 12:30 | USD | Durable Goods Orders (MoM) (Jul) | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 12:30 | USD | GDP (QoQ) (Q2) – prelim. | 1.5% | 2.1% |
| 12:30 | USD | GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q2) – prelim. | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| 12:30 | USD | PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jul) | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 12:30 | USD | PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jul) | — | 3.7% |
| 12:30 | USD | Personal Spending (MoM) (Jul) | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 14:00 | USD | Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 14:30 | USD | Crude Oil Inventories | 1.900M | 4.405M |
| 14:30 | USD | Cushing Crude Oil Inventories | — | -1.314M |
| 14:30 | EUR | Bundesbank's Balz speaks | — | — |
| 17:00 | USD | 2-Year Note Auction | — | 4.315% |
| 17:00 | USD | 5-Year Note Auction | — | 4.408% |
Market Commentary
Asia: Risk appetite is firmer across most of the region, led by Korea and mainland China, while Australia is slightly softer after hotter-than-expected July inflation data. The focus remains squarely on Nvidia’s results after the US close.
Rates: Treasury yields are little changed to modestly higher this morning, with the 10-year around 4.643% and the 30-year near 5.180%. The debate over Treasury intervention remains a major market theme, particularly its interaction with the Fed’s inflation mandate.
Oil: Crude is sharply lower, with WTI around $80.49 and Brent near $86.60, as diplomatic activity involving Iran and Oman feeds hopes of improved shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and reduces the immediate geopolitical risk premium.
Today: The US data slate is unusually heavy at 12:30 GMT, including PCE inflation, GDP and durable goods. Nvidia earnings then provide the main corporate event risk later in the session.
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