Multi-Asset Morning Pack – 8 April 2026 (06:00 UK)
Macro Lead
US–Iran ceasefire triggers a sharp de-escalation move.
Oil is collapsing, Asian equities are ripping higher, and US futures are pricing a strong relief rally.
Asia
- Nikkei: +5.34%
- KOSPI: +7.29%
- Hang Seng: +2.81%
- Shanghai: +1.92%
- Shenzhen: +3.87%
- ASX 200: +2.66%
Read-through: Asia is fully embracing the oil shock reversal and de-risking unwind.
Top Overnight Headlines
- US and Iran Agree to Ceasefire Hours Before Trump Deadline
- Oil Plunges, Stocks Jump on US-Iran Ceasefire Plan: Markets Wrap
- Iran Says Safe Passage Via Hormuz Possible for Two Weeks
- Trump Says US in ‘Heated’ Iran Talks Amid Extension Request
- Iran Accepts Pakistan’s Two-Week Ceasefire Proposal
Equities
US cash close:
- Dow: 46,584.46 (-0.18%)
- S&P 500: 6,616.85 (+0.08%)
- Nasdaq: 22,017.85 (+0.10%)
- Russell 2000: 2,544.95 (+0.17%)
- VIX: 25.78 (+6.66%)
US futures:
- Dow fut: 47,863.0 (+2.25%)
- S&P fut: 6,820.25 (+2.46%)
- Nasdaq fut: 25,121.5 (+3.08%)
- Russell fut: 2,650.8 (+3.54%)
Read-through: Strong catch-up rally setup into the US open, led by tech and small caps.
Rates
US bond futures higher:
- US 10Y future (TYA): +22 ticks
- US Ultra 10Y (UXYA): +28+
- US Long Bond (WNA): +1-10
- Bund future (RXA): +1.56
- Bobl/Schatz also firmer
Read-through: Bonds are still bid despite the equity rally. That says this is not a clean all-clear risk-on move yet.
Commodities
- WTI Crude (May ’26): 96.89 (-16.06, -14.22%)
- Brent (Jun ’26): 95.31 (-13.96, -12.78%)
- Nat Gas: 2.749 (-4.22%)
- RBOB Gasoline: 2.9762 (-9.95%)
- ULSD Heating Oil: 3.7063 (-17.22%)
Read-through: Oil is the story. This is a violent unwind of geopolitical risk premium.
Market Take
This is a positioning-driven relief rally sparked by the ceasefire and the collapse in crude.
The market is moving from:
- escalation / inflation shock
to - de-escalation / lower energy risk / relief bid
Trader Focus
- Oil: does WTI hold below $100 and press toward $95/$90?
- Equities: does the gap higher hold, or get faded?
- Rates: if yields stay heavy, rally can broaden; if yields snap higher, it may cap upside
- Vol: VIX still elevated, so confidence is not complete
Bottom Line
Oil down, everything up.
This is a powerful relief rally driven by ceasefire headlines and a huge unwind in crude, but with bonds still bid and the agreement temporary, it is stronger than it is trusted.
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