Multi-Asset Morning Pack
17 April 2026 | 06:45 UK
Macro Alert
Europe fuel stress moves to the top of the macro agenda
Europe may have ~6 weeks of jet fuel left if Hormuz disruption persists. This shifts the story from geopolitics into a real-economy supply shock with June as a potential tipping point.
Overnight Narrative
Asia is weak and not confirming the US bounce. Futures are mixed with Nasdaq lagging. Rates remain elevated and crude is softer on ceasefire hopes, but energy risk remains firmly embedded in the macro backdrop.
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Asia
Nikkei 58,944 -0.96%
Hang Seng 26,047 -1.32%
Shanghai 4,043 -0.30%
Shenzhen 14,846 +0.34%
Kospi 6,199 -0.43%
ASX 200 8,937 -0.21%
NZX 50 12,905 -1.23%
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US Close / Futures
S&P 500 7,041 +0.26%
Nasdaq 24,102 +0.36%
Dow 48,578 +0.24%
Russell 2000 2,719 +0.22%
VIX 17.94 -1.27%
Dow Fut +0.15%
S&P Fut +0.01%
Nas Fut -0.13%
Russell Fut +0.10%
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Rates
US 2Y 3.78%
US 5Y 3.92%
US 7Y 4.11%
US 10Y 4.32%
US 30Y 4.94%
Take: Long-end yields remain a drag on equities.
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Commodities
WTI $93.5 -1.25%
Brent $98.2 -1.18%
Nat Gas 2.66 +0.64%
RBOB 3.15 -0.46%
Take: Oil softer but still structurally bid.
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Top Headlines
Cross-Asset Read
• Energy risk now dominant macro driver
• Nasdaq underperformance emerging
• Yields still restrictive
• Asia not confirming US strength
→ Market shifting toward “fade rallies” regime
• Nasdaq underperformance emerging
• Yields still restrictive
• Asia not confirming US strength
→ Market shifting toward “fade rallies” regime
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Desk Take
Energy shock + weaker tech leadership = fragile setup. Expect choppy, two-way trade.
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Bottom Line
Bias: Sell rallies
Watch: Brent $100, Nasdaq, Europe open |
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